Master's thesis presentation. Maximilian is advised by Prof. Dr. Hans-Joachim Bungartz and Severin Reiz.
The SCCS Colloquium is a forum giving students, guests, and members of the chair the opportunity to present their research insights, results, and challenges. Do you need ideas for your thesis topic? Do you want to meet your potential supervisor? Do you want to discuss your research with a diverse group of researchers, rehearse your conference talk, or simply cheer for your colleagues? Then this is the right place for you (and you are also welcome to bring your friends along).
Upcoming talks
Maximilian Jokel: Evaluating acceleration models and respective stochasticity towards a real-time forecasting model for landslides
SCCS Colloquium |
Landslides are natural hazards that occur in inclined environments, such as alpine or coastal regions. They have historically caused great damages and losses, while in view of climate change, landslide risk is expected to increase. To mitigate the risk to humans and infrastructure in susceptible areas, reliable early warning systems and temporal forecasting techniques are needed.
The inverse velocity method by Fukuzono (1985a) represents an empirical approach that models instable slope behavior for deriving failure time estimates. Its linear variant is widely used today and provides the theoretical foundation of recently developed, more comprehensive procedures, such as the prospective failure time forecast model (PFTF) by Leinauer et al. (2022). Its nonlinear variants, that describe slope behavior more accurately, find less usage. Hence, in this thesis, the feasibility of extending PFTF into the realm of nonlinear acceleration models was evaluated with regard to forecasting performance in terms of accuracy and uncertainty.
In the analysis of 32 data sets of 13 historic landslide events, the approach of computing failure time estimates by means of nonlinear regression procedures was deemed feasible, but found more complex and less robust. Nonlinear acceleration models improved forecasting accuracy in cases where inverse velocity exhibits convex trends from the beginning of tertiary creep. Moreover, small variations of up to ±2 days in the forecasting starting points had, in general, marginal effects on overall forecast accuracy. Furthermore, the estimation of best-fitting values of parameter α confirmed that linear acceleration models are indeed a suitable choice for describing slope behavior in tertiary creep. In conclusion, it is not reasonable to apply nonlinear acceleration models in isolation, as the inverse velocity method’s linear variant is simpler and more reliable. Instead, their potential lies in augmenting linear fore- casting procedures in applicable cases to improve overall accuracy and uncertainty quantification.
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Contribute a talk
To register and schedule a talk, you should fill the form Colloquium Registration at least two weeks before the earliest preferred date. Keep in mind that we only have limited slots, so please plan your presentation early. In special cases, contact colloquium@mailsccs.in.tum.de.
Colloquium sessions are now on-campus. We have booked room MI 00.13.054 for WS24/25. You can either bring your own laptop or send us the slides as a PDF ahead of time. The projector only has an HDMI connection, so please bring your own adapters if necessary.
Do you want to attend but cannot make it in person? We now have a hybrid option. Simply join us through this BBB room: https://bbb.in.tum.de/shu-phv-eyq-rad
We invite students doing their Bachelor's or Master's thesis, as well as IDP, Guided Research, or similar projects at SCCS to give one 20min presentation to discuss their results and potential future work. The time for this is typically after submitting your final text. Check also with your study program regarding any requirements for a final presentation of your project work.
New: In regular times, we will now have slots for presenting early stage projects (talk time 2-10min). This is an optional opportunity for getting additional feedback early and there is no strict timeline.
Apart from students, we also welcome doctoral candidates and guests to present their projects.
During the colloquium, things usually go as follows:
- 10min before the colloquium starts, the speakers setup their equipment with the help of the moderator. The moderator currently is Ana Cukarska. Make sure to be using an easily identifiable name in the online session's waiting room.
- The colloquium starts with an introduction to the agenda and the moderator asks the speaker's advisor/host to put the talk into context.
- Your talk starts. The scheduled time for your talk is normally 20min with additional 5-10min for discussion.
- During the discussion session, the audience can ask questions, which are meant for clarification or for putting the talk into context. The audience can also ask questions in the chat.
- Congratulations! Your talk is over and it's now time to celebrate! Have you already tried the parabolic slides that bring you from the third floor to the Magistrale?
Do you remember a talk that made you feel very happy for attending? Do you also remember a talk that confused you? What made these two experiences different?
Here are a few things to check if you want to improve your presentation:
- What is the main idea that you want people to remember after your presentation? Do you make it crystal-clear? How quickly are you arriving to it?
- Which aspects of your work can you cover in the given time frame, with a reasonable pace and good depth?
- What can you leave out (but maybe have as back-up slides) to not confuse or overwhelm the audience?
- How are you investing the crucial first two minutes of your presentation?
- How much content do you have on your slides? Is all of it important? Will the audience know which part of a slide to look at? Will somebody from the last row be able to read the content? Will somebody with limited experience in your field have time to understand what is going on?
- Are the figures clear? Are you explaining the axes or any other features clearly?
In any case, make sure to start preparing your talk early enough so that you can potentially discuss it, rehearse it, and improve it.
Here are a few good videos to find out more:
- Simon Peyton Jones: How to Give a Great Research Talk (see also How to Write a Great Research Paper)
- Susan McConnell: Designing effective scientific presentations
- Jens Weller: Presenting Code
Did you know that the TUM English Writing Center can also help you with writing good slides?
Work with us!
Do your thesis/student project in Informatics / Mathematics / Physics: Student Projects at the SCCS.