Master's thesis presentation. Julia is advised by Dr. Ionut-Gabriel Farcas, Dr. Tobias Neckel and Prof. Frank Jenko.
Previous talks at the SCCS Colloquium
Julia Konrad: Reduced-dimension Context-aware Multi-fidelity Monte Carlo Sampling
SCCS Colloquium |
Multi-fidelity Monte Carlo sampling has proven to be an efficient method for quantifying uncertainty in applications with a large number of stochastic input parameters and computationally expensive models. The method consists of evaluating low-fidelity models in addition to the given high-fidelity model in order to speed up the computation of high-fidelity model statistics. In regular multi-fidelity Monte Carlo sampling, low-fidelity models are static and cannot be changed. Context-aware multi-fidelity Monte Carlo sampling takes into account that e.g., data-driven low-fidelity models can be improved using evaluations of the high-fidelity model. This method trades off refining the low-fidelity models and sampling both types of models. In this thesis, we use sensitivity information to construct low-fidelity models that depend only on subsets of important input parameters in addition to a full-dimensional low-fidelity model. We explore the potential of such reduced-dimension low-fidelity models to further reduce the mean squared error of context-aware multi-fidelity Monte Carlo estimators. To this end, our method is used to perform uncertainty quantification in a scenario from plasma micro-turbulence simulation that models the suppression of turbulence by energetic particles, and for which quantifying uncertainty can be challenging using traditional approaches.